Costal Zone Responses to Sea-Level Rise: Numerical Modeling and Uncertainty Analysis

Introduction

We have developed a numerical Model of Complex Coastal Systems (MoCCS), derived from earlier morphdynamic models, to represent the large-scale time- averaged physical processes that shape several important coastal components (e.g., beach, surf zone, dune, inlet, bay shore) and govern their interactions. These control the ongoing evolution of the barrier islands, beach and dune erosion, shoal formation and sand withdrawal at tidal inlets, depth changes in the bay, and changes in storm flooding.